Short-term Prediction of Rock Failure Competition（STPRFC）

岩石破坏短临预报竞赛是为推进解决地震、滑坡、岩爆、瓦斯突出等岩体系统重大自然、工程灾害的关键科学问题而举办的一个活动。其活动形式是进行室内大型岩石试样失稳破坏试验，由多个参赛队采用不同的物理检测方法、理论计算、分析和模拟方法，对同一岩石试件的失稳破坏时间、释放能量、破坏形式等关键参数进行预测。竞赛的目的旨在推进复杂地质灾害和非线性岩石力学理论、方法、技术与监测仪器的创新发展，提升人类对岩体系统重大自然灾害的预测预报能力，对人类防灾减灾无疑具有重大意义与价值。该竞赛由中国岩石力学与工程学会监事长、中国科学院院士，太原理工大学赵阳升教授提出。

The Short-term Prediction of Rock Failure Competition is an academic event organized to advance the understanding and solution of key scientific problems related to major natural and engineering disasters in rock mass systems, such as earthquakes, landslides, rockbursts, and gas outbursts.The competition is conducted in the form of large-scale indoor rock specimen instability and failure experiments, in which multiple participating teams use different physical monitoring techniques, theoretical calculations, analytical methods, and numerical simulations to predict key parameters of the same rock specimen, including the time of instability and failure, the released energy, and the failure mode.The purpose of the competition is to promote innovation in theories, methods, technologies, and monitoring instruments related to complex geological hazards and nonlinear rock mechanics, thereby enhancing the capability of predicting major natural disasters in rock mass systems, which is of great significance and value for disaster prevention and mitigation.The competition was proposed by Professor Zhao Yangsheng, Academician of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Supervisor-in-Chief of the Chinese Society for Rock Mechanics and Engineering, and Professor at Taiyuan University of Technology.

岩石破坏短临预报竞赛的内容包括：(1) 岩石的破坏时间，(2) 岩石破坏释放的能量，(3) 岩石破坏的位置和形式。岩石破坏短临预报竞赛具有：a)竞赛答案的唯一性；b)竞赛内容的实用性与科学性；c)竞赛过程的挑战性；d)不同理论、方法与仪器的优劣性比较。岩石破坏短临预报竞赛的举办，促使高水平的研究团队同台竞赛，相互比较各自所发展的不同的岩石失稳破坏理论、方法、技术与监测仪器优缺点，相互学习与借鉴，对于促进岩石破坏预报，乃至岩体系统重大自然灾害预测预报的发展很有意义。

The main contents of the Short-term Prediction of Rock Failure Competition include:1）the time of rock failure,2）the energy released during rock failure,3）the location and mode of rock failure.The Short-term Prediction of Rock Failure Competition is characterized by:a) the uniqueness of the prediction results,(b) the practicality and scientific rigor of the competition tasks,c) the challenging nature of the prediction process,d) comparative evaluation of the advantages and limitations of different theories, methods, and instruments.The organization of the Short-term Prediction of Rock Failure Competition brings together high-level research teams to compete on the same platform, enabling direct comparison of different theories, methods, technologies, and monitoring instruments for rock instability and failure, fostering mutual learning and reference, and making a meaningful contribution to the advancement of rock failure prediction and the forecasting of major natural disasters in rock mass systems.